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  • Monthly Prosperity Index Analysis in 2020/09

  • Source:Yiwu · China Commodity Index Author:Yiwu · China Commodity Index 2020-10-29
  •     According to the monitor of “China•Yiwu Commodity Index”, which is also called “Yiwu Index”, the monthly prosperity index of September 2020 amounted to 1063.14 points, with a month on month falling range of 0.29% and a year on year falling range of 8.87%. The monthly price index of September 2020 amounted to 100.47 points, with a month on month falling range of 0.72% and a year on year rising range of 0.38%. Affected by the seasonal factors, autumn & winter products have already come in the market, the categories of products in market were much more diversified. The overall market were promising with the rising of variety expansion degree index, commodity’s turnover index and fund’s turnover index.
        The monthly prosperity index of September, 2020 was 1063.14 points, fell by 3.12 points month on month and 103.42 points year on year, with a month on month falling range of 0.29% and year-on-year falling range of 8.87%. The monthly prosperity index can be divided into the following sub-indices:
        1.Scale Index
        The scale index of September, 2020 counted up to 849.74 points, fell by 9.37 points month on month and 55.16 points year on year, with a falling range of 1.09% and 6.10% respectively. The variety expansion degree index was increased, with a month on month rising range of 0.58%. While the trade turnover index, the trade volume index and the market popularity index were all decreased, with month on month decreasing range of 1.56%, 1.37% and 0.09% respectively. 
        2. Benefit Index
        The benefit index of September 2020 counted up to 1400.93 points, rose by 5.04 points with a month on month increasing range of 0.36%, while decreased by 272.64 points with a year on year falling range of 16.29%. In this month, the commodity’s turnover rate index, the fund's turnover rate index and the average gross profit index were all increased, with month on month rising range of 0.07%, 5.57% and 4.83% respectively. The commodity's gross profit ratio index was dropped, with month on month falling range of 11.57%.
        3.The confidence index of September 2020 amounted to 1009.89 points, decreased by 2.93 points with a falling range of 0.29% month on month, while increased by 1.45 points with a rising range of 0.14%.
        Among the monthly prosperity index of 15 major categories,5 of them have gone up. The monthly prosperity indices of Personal Care, Timepieces & Glasses and Daily Necessities have stayed in the forefront, rose by 40.88 points, 34.25 points and 32.93 points respectively. Among that, the monthly prosperity indices of Daily Necessities, Personal Care Products and Hardware & Electrical Products have rebounded in September. And the monthly prosperity indices of Apparel & Accessories and Timepieces & Eyeglasses have kept rising for two consecutive months.
        Among the monthly prosperity index of 15 major categories, the other 10 of them have fallen. The monthly prosperity indices of Arts & Crafts, Toys and Sports & Entertainment Products have stayed in forefront,fell by 138.93 points, 71.09 points and 61.67 points respectively. The monthly prosperity indices of Accessories & Packaging, Suitcases & Bags, Stationery & Office Supplies, Arts & Crafts, Jewelry, Electronics & Electrical Appliances, Knitting & Weaving Products, Shoes and Sports & Entertainment Products have fallen after rising at first. The monthly prosperity index of Toys has kept falling for two consecutive months.
    II. Analysis for the Composition of the Monthly Price Index
        The monthly price index of September 2020 amounted to 100.47 points, fell by 0.73 points month on month with falling range of 0.72%, while rose by 0.38 points year on year with a rising range of 0.38%. Among that, the market order price index and the online exchange price index were both increased, with month on month increasing range of 0.06% and 0.03% respectively. While the direct transaction price index and the export trade price index were both decreased, with month on month falling range of 7.18% and 0.01% respectively.
        Among the monthly price indices of 15 major categories, 11 of them have gone up. The monthly price indices of Hardware & Electrical Products, Apparel & Accessories and Accessories & Packaging have stayed in the forefront, increased by 1.44 points, 0.64 points and 0.34 points respectively month on month. Among that, the monthly price indices of Knitting & Weaving Products, Accessories & Packaging, Personal Care Products and Jewelry have increased for two consecutive months; the monthly price indices of Hardware & Electrical Products, Toys, Shoes, Arts & Crafts, Sports & Entertainment Products and Cases & Bags have rebounded in September. The monthly price index of Apparel & Accessories was rising in September.
        The other 4 of them have fallen. The monthly price indices of Electrical & Electronic Appliances, Stationary & Official Supplies and Timepieces & Eyeglasses have stayed in forefront, with month on month falling range of 3.55 points, 0.07 points and 0.03 points respectively.Among that, the monthly price indices of Stationary & Official Supplies, Timepieces & Eyeglasses and Daily Necessities have kept fallen for two consecutive months; and the monthly price index of Electrical & Electronic Appliances has fallen after rising.
     
     III. Analysis for the Month’s Market Condition
        i. Sales of autumn & winter products were still in hot sales.
        As weather turn cold, sales of autumn & winter personal care products, apparel & accessories and underwear were outstanding, with monthly prosperity indices of which increased by 32.35 points, 10.76 points and 29.93 points respectively, the variety expansion degree indices of which increased by 16.13 points, 75.58 points and 11.95 points respectively. With the approaching of Mid-autumn and National Day, sales of tourism products were promoted, the monthly prosperity indices of plush toys, leisure & entertainment products and leisure tools vehicles rose by 35.02 points, 38.04 points and 28.61 points respectively.
        ii. Domestic sales of students products were driven by the beginning of new semester.
        With the opening of new semester, the students' related supplies were in hot sales. The demands for stationary supplies, eyeglasses & accessories, eyeglasses and measuring instruments were rising, with the monthly prosperity indices of which increasing by 111.74 points, 94.41 points, 37.58 points and 65.75 points respectively. Meanwhile, school teaching aids were in great demands, the monthly prosperity index of official supplies & equipments rose by 18.39 points.
        iii. Medium- and high-end products became the mainstream of domestic sales.
        Effected by the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day, the domestic sales of the market increased significantly, medium- and high-end products have become the mainstream of domestic sales, with the profit rising. The average gross profit index of September, 2020 rose by 77.07 points. The monthly prosperity indices of auto products and educational toys rose by 53.39 points and 51.4 points, with the average gross profit indices rising by 108.28 points and 186.18 points respectively.
         IV. Analysis for the Marketing Trends
        i. Autumn & winter products would be the hot-seller with the cooling weather.The future market of apparel &accessories, knitting &weaving products and personal care products were promising.
        ii. With the stable domestic epidemic situation, the demands for students products such as stationary &teaching aids and sport products enlarged, and rising procurement activities could be forecast.
        iii. The sales peak season of wedding & home decoration was approaching, the rising demands for wedding products, festival products and construction & decoration hardware would promoted the whole market.